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It was already recognised in 1994 that the initial UNFCCC commitments would
not be enough to halt the global increase in greenhouse gas emissions. On 11
December 1997, governments took a further step and adopted a protocol to the
UNFCCC in the Japanese town of Kyoto. Building on the UNFCCC framework, the
Kyoto Protocol sets legally binding limits on greenhouse gas emissions in
industrialised countries and envisages innovative market-based implementation
mechanisms aimed at keeping the cost of curbing emissions low.
The targets cover emissions of the six main greenhouse gases, namely:
- Carbon dioxide (CO2);
- Methane (CH4);
- Nitrous oxide (N2O);
- Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs);
- Perfluorocarbons (PFCs); and
- Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
Kyoto Emission reduction targets
Under the Kyoto Protocol, industrialised countries are required to reduce the
emissions of six greenhouse gases (CO2, which is the most important one) on
average by 5.2 % below the 1990 levels during the first "commitment period"
from 2008 to 2012. There are no emission targets for developing countries.
The developed countries commitment will be achieved through cuts of 8% by
Switzerland, most Central and East European states, and the European Union (the
EU will meet its target by distributing different rates among its member
states); 7% by the US; and 6% by Canada, Hungary, Japan, and Poland. Russia,
New Zealand, and Ukraine are to stabilize their emissions, while Norway may
increase emissions by up to 1%, Australia by up to 8%, and Iceland 10%. The
six gases are to be combined in a "basket", with reductions in individual
gases translated into "CO2 equivalents" that are then added up to produce a
single figure.
Each country’s emissions target must be achieved by the period 2008-2012. It
will be calculated as an average over the five years. "Demonstrable progress"
towards meeting the target must be made by 2005. Cuts in the three most
important gases – carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N20)
- will be measured against a base year of 1990 (with exceptions for some
countries with economies in transition).
Cuts in three long-lived industrial gases – hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs),
perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) - can be measured
against either a 1990 or 1995 baseline. (A major group of industrial gases,
chlorofluorocarbons, or CFCs, are dealt with under the 1987 Montreal Protocol
on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer.)
Actual emission reductions will be much larger than 5%. Compared with
emissions levels projected for the year 2000, the richest industrialised
countries (OECD members) will need to reduce their collective output by about
10%. This is because many of these countries will not succeed in meeting their
earlier non-binding aim of returning emissions to 1990 levels by the year
2000; their emissions have in fact risen since 1990. While the countries with
economies in transition have experienced falling emissions since 1990, this
trend is now reversing.
Therefore, for the developed countries as a whole, the 5% Protocol target
represents an actual cut of around 20% when compared with the emissions levels
that are projected for 2010 if no emissions-control measures are adopted.
In addition to setting targets, the Protocol encourages governments to
cooperate with one another, improve energy efficiency, reform the energy and
transportation sectors, promote renewable forms of energy, phase out
inappropriate fiscal measures and market imperfections, limit methane
emissions from waste management and energy systems, and manage carbon “sinks”
such as forest, croplands and grazing lands.
Countries included in Annex B to the Kyoto Protocol and their emissions
targets
|
Country |
Target
(1990** - 2008/2012) |
|
EU-15*, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia,Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Monaco, Romania,Slovakia,Slovenia, Switzerland |
-8% |
|
US*** |
-7% |
|
Canada, Hungary, Japan, Poland |
-6% |
|
Croatia |
-5% |
|
New Zealand, Russian Federation, Ukraine |
0 |
|
Norway |
+1% |
|
Australia |
+8% |
|
Iceland |
+10% |
* The EU’s 15 member States will redistribute their targets among themselves,
taking advantage of a scheme under the Protocol known as a “bubble”. The EU
has already reached agreement on how its targets will be redistributed.**
Some EITs countries ( Economy in transition) have a baseline other than 1990.
*** The US has indicated its intention not to ratify the Kyoto Protocol.
When does the Kyoto Protocol come into force?
The commitments will become legally binding once the Kyoto Protocol enters
into force. The rules for entry into force demand that at least 55 Parties to
the UNFCCC ratify the Protocol and that those include industrialised countries
(Annex I countries) accounting for at least 55% of the CO2 emissions in 1990.
Thus far, 126 countries have ratified the Kyoto Protocol, so the first
threshold has been attained. However, the Annex I countries among them
represent only 44.2% of the CO2 emissions (The EU's share is 24.2%.).
There are five Annex I countries that have not ratified yet: Australia,
Liechtenstein, Monaco, Russia and the United States. But only ratification by
Russia, which is responsible for 17.4% of the global 1990 CO2 emissions, or
the US, responsible for 36.1%, will make a difference as the three remaining
countries together account for only 2.1%. After the United States withdrew
from the Kyoto Protocol in early 2001, Russia now holds the key for the
Protocol's entry into force. Due to the Russian ratification in October 2004,
the Kyoto Protocol will come into force soon.
EU and the Kyoto protocol
The European Union (EU) is at the forefront of international efforts to
combat climate change and has played a key role in the development of the two
major treaties addressing the issue, the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change and its Kyoto Protocol.
The EU is also taking serious steps to address its own greenhouse gas
emissions. In March 2000 the Commission launched the European Climate Change
Programme (ECCP). The ECCP led to the adoption of a range of new policies and
measures, among which the EU’s emissions trading scheme, which will start its
operation on 1 January 2005, will play a key role. As a result of the EU’s and
individual Member States actions, the latest monitoring data indicates that
the European Union has delivered on its long-standing commitment to stabilise
emissions of CO2 at the level of 1990 in the year 2000. The EU-15 is committed
to deliver the collective 8% cut in emissions by 2008-2012 to which it signed
up under the Kyoto Protocol. Equally the New Member States are determined to
meet their individual targets under the Kyoto Protocol.
EU burden sharing
The EU and its Member states agreed in 2002 on different emission
limitation and reduction targets for each Member State called the ´burden
sharing´ agreement . These greenhouse gas reduction targets are:
|
Country |
Target
(1990- 2008/2012) |
|
Austria |
-13% |
|
Belgium |
-7.5% |
|
Denmark |
-21% |
|
Finland |
0% |
|
France |
0% |
|
Germany |
-21% |
|
Greece |
+25% |
|
Ireland |
+13% |
|
Italy |
-6.5% |
|
Luxembourg |
-28% |
|
Netherlands |
-6% |
|
Portugal |
+27% |
|
Spain |
+15% |
|
Sweden |
+4% |
|
United Kingdom |
-12.5% |
|
European Community |
-8% |
|